Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.115344 0.127637 0.140255 0.154149 0.168988 0.184335 0.201377
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.098390 0.117210 0.137500 0.160872 0.186920 0.214934 0.247210
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.082589 0.105209 0.130685 0.161191 0.196414 0.235507 0.281865
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.068652 0.093219 0.122039 0.157781 0.200353 0.248890 0.307852
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062181 0.089063 0.121673 0.163265 0.214018 0.273086 0.346150
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.056224 0.084717 0.120380 0.167045 0.225234 0.294190 0.380828
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.050681 0.080219 0.118316 0.169372 0.234315 0.312542 0.412209
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.045353 0.075405 0.115326 0.170076 0.241041 0.327834 0.439845
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.044773 0.077028 0.120754 0.181660 0.261597 0.360346 0.488858
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041154 0.073937 0.119521 0.184243 0.270491 0.378327 0.520075
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038335 0.071732 0.119276 0.187970 0.280772 0.398053 0.553582
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034438 0.067518 0.115883 0.187135 0.284848 0.409782 0.577040
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033253 0.067638 0.118966 0.195715 0.302169 0.439471 0.624589
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032157 0.067835 0.122185 0.204629 0.320229 0.470565 0.674608
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029087 0.064453 0.119806 0.205369 0.327041 0.486963 0.705864
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.025252 0.059344 0.114432 0.201455 0.327196 0.494451 0.725566
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024113 0.058875 0.116205 0.208018 0.342004 0.521542 0.771068
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.022639 0.057636 0.116640 0.212521 0.353918 0.544851 0.811818
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.020952 0.055813 0.115989 0.215286 0.363328 0.564831 0.848328
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019067 0.053388 0.114170 0.216123 0.369891 0.580944 0.879800
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.019563 0.055792 0.120553 0.229824 0.395308 0.623117 0.946437
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.018228 0.054290 0.120175 0.232873 0.405177 0.643992 0.984706
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.017209 0.053341 0.120673 0.237270 0.417042 0.667706 1.026968